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Iğdır FK vs Boluspor: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · 1. Lig · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.8 corners in the match: Iğdır FK 5.2, Boluspor 3.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 39% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 61%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Iğdır FK 2.0, Boluspor 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Iğdır FK win 62%, draw 21%, Boluspor win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Iğdır FK: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Boluspor: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 15 matches without a win · away
- 9 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Iğdır FK — 3, Boluspor — 20 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Iğdır FK at home and Boluspor away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Iğdır FK | Boluspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 44 |
| Win rate | 47% | 27% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 8.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 54% | 50% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Iğdır FK won 1, 1 draws, Boluspor won 2. Per match: 1.5 goals, 7.0 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.
- 08.03.2026: Boluspor 2:0 Iğdır FK
- 19.10.2025: Iğdır FK 1:1 Boluspor
- 19.01.2025: Iğdır FK 0:1 Boluspor
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Iğdır FK vs Boluspor?
Our model expects 8.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 39%.
How many yellow cards in Iğdır FK vs Boluspor?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win Iğdır FK vs Boluspor?
Our model: Iğdır FK 62%, draw 21%, Boluspor 17%.