Xpect
Corners predictions for today
Expected corners for each match and the probability of over 9.5 from our model. Top events are the matches that differ most from a typical game in their competition — in either direction.
The model uses the last 30 matches of each team and pulls them toward the competition average. Numbers update every three hours.
Top corners events
| Leicester — Bradford England · League One | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Alianza Lima — FC Cajamarca Peru · Primera División | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Volga Ulyanovsk — Torpedo Moskva Russia · First League | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Swindon Town — Grimsby England · League Two | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| AFC Wimbledon — Blackpool England · League One | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Portugal — Denmark Europe · Nations League | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Bucaramanga — Fortaleza FC Colombia · Primera A | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| De Graafschap — FC OSS Netherlands · Eerste Divisie | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Wigan — Barnsley England · League One | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Belgium — Italy Europe · Nations League | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Israel — Austria Europe · Nations League | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Slovakia — Faroe Islands Europe · Nations League | 🔒 | 🔒 |
All matches with our numbers
Today, Wednesday 11 November
Brazil · Serie B
| Time | Match | Expected | Corners over 9.5 | Competition avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina — Nautico Recife | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
Tomorrow, Thursday 12 November
Colombia · Primera A
Europe · Nations League
| Time | Match | Expected | Corners over 9.5 | Competition avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye — Belgium | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Armenia — Cyprus | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Italy — France | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Czechia — Spain | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| England — Croatia | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Albania — Finland | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| San Marino — Belarus | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Montenegro — Latvia | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
Friday 13 November
Europe · Nations League
Russia · First League
| Time | Match | Expected | Corners over 9.5 | Competition avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk — Veles | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Ska-khabarovsk — Leningradets | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| FC Sochi — Shinnik Yaroslavl | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| FC UFA — Spartak Kostroma | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | |
| Volga Ulyanovsk — Torpedo Moskva | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
France · Coupe de France
| Time | Match | Expected | Corners over 9.5 | Competition avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon FCO — Orléans | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
Spain · Segunda
| Time | Match | Expected | Corners over 9.5 | Competition avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes — Burgos | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 |
Questions and answers
How are the corners and cards predictions calculated?
Our model uses the last 30 matches of each team and pulls them toward the competition average. It was tested on 126,835 matches: every forecast used only games played before it.
Where do the result and goals percentages come from?
From our own model. Who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents: wins over weak sides count for less, so a team promoted from a lower division gets no extra credit. How many goals comes from the last 30 matches of each team compared with the competition average, with a Poisson distribution. Tested on 445,384 matches since July 2023, each forecast using only games played before it, it is more accurate than the average match of the competition (Brier score: result 0.597 vs 0.642, over 2.5 goals 0.236 vs 0.238).
Does Xpect take bets?
No. Xpect is analytics only: no bets, no odds and no links to bookmakers. For adults 18+.