Football predictions for today

Every match below has probabilities from Xpect: our own model for corners and yellow cards, and our own goals model for the result and goals. The percentage is the chance that the event happens; next to it — how often it happens in a typical match of the same competition.

Open a match to see the corners and cards forecast for both teams, current form and streaks, head-to-head numbers and the referee. All lines, team statistics for three seasons and the AI analyst are in the Xpect app.

Top corners events

15:00 UTC	Leicester — Bradford England · League One	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Alianza Lima — FC Cajamarca Peru · Primera División	🔒	🔒
23:00 UTC	Volga Ulyanovsk — Torpedo Moskva Russia · First League	🔒	🔒
15:00 UTC	Swindon Town — Grimsby England · League Two	🔒	🔒
15:00 UTC	AFC Wimbledon — Blackpool England · League One	🔒	🔒

Top yellow cards events

13:30 UTC	Guidonia Montecelio 1937 — Ostia Mare Italy · Serie C – Girone B	🔒	🔒
16:30 UTC	Barletta — Team Altamura Italy · Serie C – Girone C	🔒	🔒
11:30 UTC	Giugliano — Savoia Italy · Serie C – Girone C	🔒	🔒
13:30 UTC	Potenza — Scafatese Italy · Serie C – Girone C	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Andorra — Gibraltar Europe · Nations League	🔒	🔒

All matches with our numbers

Today, Wednesday 11 November

Japan · J.League Cup

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
10:00 UTC	Kawasaki Frontale — Kashiwa Reysol	🔒	🔒	🔒
10:00 UTC	Vissel Kobe — Machida Zelvia	🔒	🔒	🔒
10:00 UTC	Yokohama F. Marinos — Kashima	🔒	🔒	🔒
10:30 UTC	Urawa — Cerezo Osaka	🔒	🔒	🔒

Colombia · Primera B

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
21:00 UTC	Popayan — Ind. Yumbo	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Envigado — Union Magdalena	🔒	🔒	🔒
23:00 UTC	Real Cundinamarca — Real Cartagena	🔒	🔒	🔒

El Salvador · Primera División

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
01:00 UTC	Isidro Metapán — Platense	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:30 UTC	Fuerte San Francisco — Alianza	🔒	🔒	🔒

Turkmenistan · Yokary Liga

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
14:00 UTC	Arkadag — Altyn Asyr	🔒	🔒	🔒
14:00 UTC	Merw — Ahal	🔒	🔒	🔒

Mexico · Liga de Expansión

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
21:00 UTC	Monarcas — Leones Negros UDG	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Piratas — CA La Paz	🔒	🔒	🔒

Colombia · Copa Colombia

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
01:30 UTC	Once Caldas — Atletico Nacional	🔒	🔒	🔒

Belarus · Belarusian Cup

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
11:30 UTC	Orsha — Bate Borisov	🔒	🔒	🔒

Czechia · Czech Cup

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
17:00 UTC	Artis — FK Jablonec	🔒	🔒	🔒

Brazil · Serie B

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
22:00 UTC	Londrina — Nautico Recife	🔒	🔒	🔒

Tomorrow, Thursday 12 November

Colombia · Primera A

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
21:00 UTC	Águilas Doradas — Independiente Medellin	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Atletico Nacional — Once Caldas	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Bucaramanga — Fortaleza FC	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Cucuta — Jaguares	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Deportivo Cali — Deportes Tolima	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Deportivo Pasto — Junior	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Internacional de Bogota — Santa Fe	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Llaneros — Chico	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Millonarios — Alianza Valledupar	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:00 UTC	Deportivo Pereira — America de Cali	🔒	🔒	🔒

Europe · Nations League

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
17:00 UTC	Türkiye — Belgium	🔒	🔒	🔒
17:00 UTC	Armenia — Cyprus	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Italy — France	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Czechia — Spain	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	England — Croatia	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Albania — Finland	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	San Marino — Belarus	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Montenegro — Latvia	🔒	🔒	🔒

El Salvador · Primera División

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
01:00 UTC	FAS — Inter	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:30 UTC	Águila — Municipal Limeño	🔒	🔒	🔒
21:30 UTC	Atletico Balboa — Inca Aruba	🔒	🔒	🔒

Spain · Copa del Rey

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
17:30 UTC	Calvo Sotelo — Albacete	🔒	🔒	🔒
18:00 UTC	CD Tarancon — Levante	🔒	🔒	🔒

Colombia · Primera B

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
01:10 UTC	Quindio — Tigres FC	🔒	🔒	🔒

Jamaica · Premier League

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
20:00 UTC	Mount Pleasant Academy — Portmore United	🔒	🔒	🔒

Guatemala · Liga Nacional

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
22:00 UTC	Aurora — Mixco	🔒	🔒	🔒

Uruguay · Primera División

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
23:00 UTC	Cerro Largo — Progreso	🔒	🔒	🔒

Friday 13 November

Europe · Nations League

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
17:00 UTC	Moldova — Kazakhstan	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Serbia — Germany	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Netherlands — Greece	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Slovakia — Faroe Islands	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Bulgaria — Iceland	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Liechtenstein — Azerbaijan	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Luxembourg — Estonia	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Andorra — Gibraltar	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Slovenia — Switzerland	🔒	🔒	🔒
19:45 UTC	Scotland — North Macedonia	🔒	🔒	🔒

Russia · First League

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
23:00 UTC	Chelyabinsk — Veles	🔒	🔒	🔒
23:00 UTC	Ska-khabarovsk — Leningradets	🔒	🔒	🔒
23:00 UTC	FC Sochi — Shinnik Yaroslavl	🔒	🔒	🔒
23:00 UTC	FC UFA — Spartak Kostroma	🔒	🔒	🔒
23:00 UTC	Volga Ulyanovsk — Torpedo Moskva	🔒	🔒	🔒

Montenegro · First League

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
12:00 UTC	Jezero — Buducnost Podgorica	🔒	🔒	🔒

Mexico · Liga Premier

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
16:00 UTC	Tritons Vallarta — Tapachula	🔒	🔒	🔒

Algeria · Ligue 1

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
17:00 UTC	JS Saoura — Khenchela	🔒	🔒	🔒

Nigeria · NPFL

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
17:00 UTC	Shooting Stars — Bendel Insurance	🔒	🔒	🔒

Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 1

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
18:00 UTC	Ponferradina — Cacereño	🔒	🔒	🔒

France · Coupe de France

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
19:00 UTC	Dijon FCO — Orléans	🔒	🔒	🔒

Spain · Segunda

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
19:30 UTC	Leganes — Burgos	🔒	🔒	🔒

Italy · Serie C – Girone A

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
19:30 UTC	Ospitaletto — Dolomiti Bellunesi	🔒	🔒	🔒

Italy · Serie C – Girone B

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
19:30 UTC	Latina — Campobasso FC	🔒	🔒	🔒

Spain · Copa del Rey

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
20:00 UTC	Salamanca UDS — Celta Vigo	🔒	🔒	🔒

Uruguay · Primera División

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
20:00 UTC	Atletico Torque — Racing Montevideo	🔒	🔒	🔒

Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2

Time	Match	Corners over 9.5	Cards over 4.5	1 · X · 2
20:15 UTC	Gimnastic — Real Madrid II	🔒	🔒	🔒

Questions and answers

How are the corners and cards predictions calculated?

Our model uses the last 30 matches of each team and pulls them toward the competition average. It was tested on 126,835 matches: every forecast used only games played before it.

Where do the result and goals percentages come from?

From our own model. Who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents: wins over weak sides count for less, so a team promoted from a lower division gets no extra credit. How many goals comes from the last 30 matches of each team compared with the competition average, with a Poisson distribution. Tested on 445,384 matches since July 2023, each forecast using only games played before it, it is more accurate than the average match of the competition (Brier score: result 0.597 vs 0.642, over 2.5 goals 0.236 vs 0.238).

Does Xpect take bets?

No. Xpect is analytics only: no bets, no odds and no links to bookmakers. For adults 18+.