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Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · 1. Lig · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Kayserispor 2.3, Batman Petrolspor 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 55%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Kayserispor win 29%, draw 24%, Batman Petrolspor win 47%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Form
Kayserispor: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Batman Petrolspor: last five matches — D-W-W-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Table: Kayserispor — 1, Batman Petrolspor — 5 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Kayserispor at home and Batman Petrolspor away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Kayserispor | Batman Petrolspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Win rate | 75% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 7.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 75% | 20% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 75% | 40% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 45%.
Who is more likely to win Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor?
Our model: Kayserispor 29%, draw 24%, Batman Petrolspor 47%.