Xpect
Modena vs Hellas Verona: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie B · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Modena 5.4, Hellas Verona 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 50%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Modena 1.8, Hellas Verona 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 61%, typical match 46%.
Form
Modena: last five matches — L-W-D-L-W.
Hellas Verona: last five matches — D-D-W-L-W.
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Modena — 4, Hellas Verona — 6 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Modena at home and Hellas Verona away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Modena | Hellas Verona | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 2 |
| Win rate | 39% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | 8.0 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 32% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 6.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 56% | 100% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Modena won 0, 0 draws, Hellas Verona won 1. Per match: 5.0 goals.
- 29.07.2021: Hellas Verona 3:2 Modena
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Modena vs Hellas Verona?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in Modena vs Hellas Verona?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.