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Abdish-Ata vs Asiagoal: prediction and statistics

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 7 November 2026 · kick-off

Key facts

Result

Final score 0:1.

Result

Our model: Abdish-Ata win 39%, draw 26%, Asiagoal win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.

Form

Abdish-Ata: last five matches — L-L-L-W-W.

Asiagoal: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.

Table: Abdish-Ata — 15, Asiagoal — 14 (of 16).

Team statistics for three seasons

Abdish-Ata at home and Asiagoal away, 2024–2026.

Abdish-AtaAsiagoal
Matches4127
Win rate59%11%
Goals scored per match1.61.0
Goals conceded per match1.01.9
Over 2.5 goals54%56%
Both teams score34%52%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match0.00.1
Over 4.5 yellow cards0%0%

Head to head

3 meetings in our database: Abdish-Ata won 2, 0 draws, Asiagoal won 1. Per match: 3.3 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Abdish-Ata vs Asiagoal?

Our model: Abdish-Ata 39%, draw 26%, Asiagoal 35%.

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