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AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: AD Ceuta FC 5.2, Real Sociedad II 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.4 yellow cards: AD Ceuta FC 2.3, Real Sociedad II 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 62% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: AD Ceuta FC win 40%, draw 27%, Real Sociedad II win 33%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
AD Ceuta FC: last five matches — L-W-L-L-D.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Real Sociedad II: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
Table: AD Ceuta FC — 22, Real Sociedad II — 12 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
AD Ceuta FC at home and Real Sociedad II away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| AD Ceuta FC | Real Sociedad II | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 24 |
| Win rate | 50% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 58% | 54% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: AD Ceuta FC won 1, 1 draws, Real Sociedad II won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals, 8.0 corners, 8.0 yellow cards.
- 10.04.2026: AD Ceuta FC 0:0 Real Sociedad II
- 21.12.2025: Real Sociedad II 1:3 AD Ceuta FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 43%.
How many yellow cards in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Our model expects 5.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 62%.
Who is more likely to win AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Market line without margin: AD Ceuta FC 40%, draw 27%, Real Sociedad II 33%.