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ADT vs FC Cajamarca: prediction and statistics

Peru · Primera División · 10 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

59%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: ADT 5.3, FC Cajamarca 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 41% (typical match — 51%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 59%, typical match 49%.

Yellow cards

56%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: ADT 2.2, FC Cajamarca 2.8; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 56% (typical match — 58%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 74%, typical match 75%.

Result

Market line without margin: ADT win 56%, draw 25%, FC Cajamarca win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 56%.

Form

ADT: last five matches — D-W-L-W-L.

FC Cajamarca: last five matches — L-L-W-W-W.

Table: ADT — 16, FC Cajamarca — 15 (of 18).

Team statistics for three seasons

ADT at home and FC Cajamarca away, 2024–2026.

ADTFC Cajamarca
Matches4913
Win rate53%31%
Goals scored per match1.61.3
Goals conceded per match1.01.7
Over 2.5 goals51%62%
Both teams score53%62%
Total corners per match9.37.8
Over 9.5 corners45%25%
Total yellow cards per match4.53.7
Over 4.5 yellow cards41%31%

Head to head

2 meetings in our database: ADT won 0, 1 draws, FC Cajamarca won 1. Per match: 3.5 goals, 8.0 corners, 3.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in ADT vs FC Cajamarca?

Our model expects 9.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 41%.

How many yellow cards in ADT vs FC Cajamarca?

Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 56%.

Who is more likely to win ADT vs FC Cajamarca?

Market line without margin: ADT 56%, draw 25%, FC Cajamarca 20%.

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