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Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares: prediction and statistics

Colombia · Primera A · 3 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

57%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Águilas Doradas 5.4, Jaguares 3.7. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 43%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 56%, typical match 56%.

Yellow cards

71%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 5.9 yellow cards: Águilas Doradas 2.5, Jaguares 3.4; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 71% (typical match — 67%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 71%, typical match 67%.

Form

Águilas Doradas: last five matches — W-D-D-D-D.

Jaguares: last five matches — L-L-L-D-L.

Table: Águilas Doradas — 13, Jaguares — 18 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Águilas Doradas at home and Jaguares away, 2024–2026.

Águilas DoradasJaguares
Matches5432
Win rate33%6%
Goals scored per match1.20.6
Goals conceded per match1.21.8
Over 2.5 goals48%47%
Both teams score61%44%
Total corners per match9.28.5
Over 9.5 corners43%37%
Total yellow cards per match5.45.8
Over 4.5 yellow cards61%77%

Head to head

19 meetings in our database: Águilas Doradas won 7, 6 draws, Jaguares won 6. Per match: 1.8 goals, 8.7 corners, 5.4 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares?

Our model expects 9.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 43%.

How many yellow cards in Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares?

Our model expects 5.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 71%.

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