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Al-Adalah vs Al Orubah: prediction and statistics
Saudi Arabia · First Division League · 18 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Al-Adalah · Al Orubah
Before kick-off
Al-Adalah host Al Orubah in First Division League on 18 November 2026. In the standings Al-Adalah are 10th and Al Orubah 13th out of 18 teams.
Al-Adalah have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Al Orubah no victory — 4 draws and 1 defeat. Measured in points the two runs are close — 5 and 4.
The home record of Al-Adalah (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 13 wins, 14 draws and 13 defeats in 40 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.7 conceded per game. On the road Al Orubah are a dangerous side — 12 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats in 22 away matches, 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 5 in 10 meetings. Last time out (14 February 2026) it ended Al Orubah 2:2 Al-Adalah. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Al-Adalah: last five matches — L-D-W-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
Al Orubah: last five matches — D-D-D-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Al-Adalah — 10, Al Orubah — 13 (of 18).
Home and away record
Al-Adalah at home and Al Orubah away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Al-Adalah | Al Orubah | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 22 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-14-13 | 12-6-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Al-Adalah won 3, 5 draws, Al Orubah won 2. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 14.02.2026: Al Orubah 2:2 Al-Adalah
- 20.10.2025: Al-Adalah 1:4 Al Orubah
- 29.01.2024: Al Orubah 0:0 Al-Adalah
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- 5 of the 10 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 57% of Al-Adalah home games and 68% of Al Orubah away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Al-Adalah 2.1, Al Orubah 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 64%, typical match 57%.
Result
Our model: Al-Adalah win 29%, draw 25%, Al Orubah win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Al-Adalah | Al Orubah | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 68% |
| Both teams score | 78% | 68% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 28% | 36% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 1.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.