Al Arabi vs Al Nasar: prediction and statistics

Kuwait · Premier League · 7 November 2026 · kick-off 14:25 UTC

Team stats: Al Arabi · Al Nasar

Key facts

• Al Arabi has won 25 of the last 37 meetings with Al Nasar.
• Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 42% of Al Arabi home games and 60% of Al Nasar away games.
• Our model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 64%; a draw is 21%.

Result

Our model: Al Arabi win 64%, draw 21%, Al Nasar win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 48%.

Form

Al Arabi: last five matches — W-D-L-L-W.

Al Nasar: last five matches — W-D-W-L-W.

• 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
• 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions

Table: Al Arabi — 7, Al Nasar — 3 (of 12).

Team statistics for three seasons

Al Arabi at home and Al Nasar away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

37 meetings in our database: Al Arabi won 25, 6 draws, Al Nasar won 6. Per match: 3.1 goals.

• 30.05.2026: Al Arabi 2:1 Al Nasar
• 09.11.2025: Al Arabi 1:2 Al Nasar
• 27.02.2025: Al Arabi 2:1 Al Nasar

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers