Al Buqa'a vs Al Wihdat: prediction and statistics

Jordan · Jordanian Pro League · 6 November 2026 · kick-off 16:30 UTC

Team stats: Al Buqa'a · Al Wihdat

Key facts

• Al Wihdat is the more likely winner in our model: 64%, draw 21%.
• Over 2.5 goals happened in 63% of Al Buqa'a’s home matches and 33% of Al Wihdat’s away matches over three seasons.
• Head to head favours Al Wihdat: 17 wins in 23 meetings with Al Buqa'a.

Result

Our model: Al Buqa'a win 15%, draw 21%, Al Wihdat win 64%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 49%.

Form

Al Buqa'a: last five matches — L-L-W-L-D.

• 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home

Al Wihdat: last five matches — L-L-D-W-W.

• 7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
• 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
• 3 matches unbeaten · away

Table: Al Buqa'a — 3, Al Wihdat — 4 (of 10).

Team statistics for three seasons

Al Buqa'a at home and Al Wihdat away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

23 meetings in our database: Al Buqa'a won 2, 4 draws, Al Wihdat won 17. Per match: 2.9 goals.

• 09.04.2026: Al Buqa'a 1:5 Al Wihdat
• 03.03.2026: Al Buqa'a 3:1 Al Wihdat
• 20.01.2026: Al Wihdat 4:2 Al Buqa'a

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers