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Al Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sports: prediction and statistics
Rwanda · National Soccer League · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Al Hilal Omdurman · Rayon Sports
Key facts
- Al Hilal Omdurman is the more likely winner in our model: 61%, draw 25%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 59% of Al Hilal Omdurman’s home matches and 41% of Rayon Sports’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 3 of 4 meetings.
Result
Final score 1:1.
Result
Our model: Al Hilal Omdurman win 61%, draw 25%, Rayon Sports win 14%. Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 36%.
Form
Al Hilal Omdurman: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 wins in a row · at home
Rayon Sports: last five matches — L-D-L-D-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Al Hilal Omdurman — 15, Rayon Sports — 8 (of 19).
Team statistics for three seasons
Al Hilal Omdurman at home and Rayon Sports away, 2024–2026.
| Al Hilal Omdurman | Rayon Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 17 | 34 |
| Win rate | 71% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 41% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | 0% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Al Hilal Omdurman won 1, 3 draws, Rayon Sports won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 25.02.2026: Rayon Sports 1:1 Al Hilal Omdurman
- 17.01.2026: Al Hilal Omdurman 4:0 Rayon Sports
- 25.08.2019: Al Hilal Omdurman 0:0 Rayon Sports
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Al Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sports?
Our model: Al Hilal Omdurman 61%, draw 25%, Rayon Sports 14%.