Al Jahra vs Al Qadsia: prediction and statistics

Kuwait · Premier League · 7 November 2026 · kick-off 16:40 UTC

Team stats: Al Jahra · Al Qadsia

Key facts

• Al Qadsia is the more likely winner in our model: 71%, draw 20%.
• Over 2.5 goals happened in 42% of Al Jahra’s home matches and 50% of Al Qadsia’s away matches over three seasons.
• Head to head favours Al Qadsia: 16 wins in 26 meetings with Al Jahra.

Result

Our model: Al Jahra win 10%, draw 20%, Al Qadsia win 71%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 38%.

Form

Al Jahra: last five matches — D-L-W-L-W.

• 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions

Al Qadsia: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.

• 6 wins in a row · away
• 6 matches unbeaten · away
• 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions

Table: Al Jahra — 9, Al Qadsia — 4 (of 12).

Team statistics for three seasons

Al Jahra at home and Al Qadsia away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

26 meetings in our database: Al Jahra won 4, 6 draws, Al Qadsia won 16. Per match: 3.6 goals.

• 29.05.2026: Al Qadsia 3:0 Al Jahra
• 08.11.2025: Al Jahra 0:2 Al Qadsia
• 23.12.2023: Al Qadsia 2:1 Al Jahra

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers