Al Kahrabaa vs Zakho: prediction and statistics

Iraq · Iraq Stars League · 5 November 2026 · kick-off 13:00 UTC

Team stats: Al Kahrabaa · Zakho

Key facts

• Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 45% of Al Kahrabaa home games and 35% of Zakho away games.
• Our model sees an open game: Al Kahrabaa 34%, draw 27%, Zakho 40%.

Result

Our model: Al Kahrabaa win 34%, draw 27%, Zakho win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.

Form

Al Kahrabaa: last five matches — D-D-W-D-L.

• 5 matches without a win · all competitions
• 3 losses in a row · all competitions

Zakho: last five matches — L-D-L-L-D.

• 11 matches without a win · away
• 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
• 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away

Table: Al Kahrabaa — 19, Zakho — 14 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Al Kahrabaa at home and Zakho away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

12 meetings in our database: Al Kahrabaa won 5, 1 draws, Zakho won 6. Per match: 2.2 goals.

• 23.04.2026: Zakho 2:1 Al Kahrabaa
• 14.01.2026: Al Kahrabaa 0:3 Zakho
• 07.05.2025: Al Kahrabaa 0:3 Zakho

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers