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Al Nasr vs Sur: prediction and statistics
Oman · Professional League · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 44% of Al Nasr home games and 37% of Sur away games.
- Our model makes Al Nasr the favourite at 67%; a draw is 20%.
Result
Final score 0:3.
Result
Our model: Al Nasr win 67%, draw 20%, Sur win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 48%.
Form
Al Nasr: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Sur: last five matches — D-L-W-L-L.
Table: Al Nasr — 3, Sur — 14 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Al Nasr at home and Sur away, 2024–2026.
| Al Nasr | Sur | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 27 | 27 |
| Win rate | 56% | 15% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 37% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Al Nasr won 11, 5 draws, Sur won 3. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 15.02.2026: Al Nasr 1:0 Sur
- 05.09.2025: Al Nasr 3:0 Sur
- 17.08.2025: Sur 0:2 Al Nasr
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Al Nasr vs Sur?
Our model: Al Nasr 67%, draw 20%, Sur 13%.