XpectXpect

Al Salmiyah vs Kazma: prediction and statistics

Kuwait · Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off

Key facts

Result

Final score 3:2.

Result

Our model: Al Salmiyah win 42%, draw 27%, Kazma win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 49%.

Form

Al Salmiyah: last five matches — W-L-W-L-W.

Kazma: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.

Table: Al Salmiyah — 7, Kazma — 3 (of 12).

Team statistics for three seasons

Al Salmiyah at home and Kazma away, 2024–2026.

Al SalmiyahKazma
Matches2725
Win rate52%40%
Goals scored per match1.61.2
Goals conceded per match1.21.3
Over 2.5 goals59%40%
Both teams score59%48%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match0.00.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards0%0%

Head to head

40 meetings in our database: Al Salmiyah won 9, 12 draws, Kazma won 19. Per match: 3.2 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Al Salmiyah vs Kazma?

Our model: Al Salmiyah 42%, draw 27%, Kazma 31%.

Open Xpect in your browser