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Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon: prediction and statistics

Kuwait · Premier League · 6 November 2026 · kick-off

Key facts

Result

Final score 1:3.

Result

Our model: Al Shabab win 46%, draw 24%, Al Tadhamon win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 61%.

Form

Al Shabab: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.

Al Tadhamon: last five matches — D-W-W-L-L.

Table: Al Shabab — 8, Al Tadhamon — 12 (of 12).

Team statistics for three seasons

Al Shabab at home and Al Tadhamon away, 2024–2026.

Al ShababAl Tadhamon
Matches1424
Win rate21%21%
Goals scored per match0.71.0
Goals conceded per match2.12.0
Over 2.5 goals50%54%
Both teams score36%46%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match0.00.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards0%0%

Head to head

18 meetings in our database: Al Shabab won 7, 6 draws, Al Tadhamon won 5. Per match: 2.5 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Al Shabab vs Al Tadhamon?

Our model: Al Shabab 46%, draw 24%, Al Tadhamon 31%.

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