Al Zawra'a vs Al-Jolan SC: prediction and statistics

Iraq · Iraq Stars League · 7 November 2026 · kick-off 15:30 UTC

Team stats: Al Zawra'a · Al-Jolan SC

Key facts

Over 2.5 goals happened in 42% of Al Zawra'a’s home matches and 50% of Al-Jolan SC’s away matches over three seasons.

Result

Final score 0:3.

Result

Our model: Al Zawra'a win 46%, draw 28%, Al-Jolan SC win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 43%.

Form

Al Zawra'a: last five matches — W-L-L-W-D.

6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home

Al-Jolan SC: last five matches — D-W-D-D-W.

6 matches unbeaten · away
3 wins in a row · all competitions

Table: Al Zawra'a — 4, Al-Jolan SC — 6 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Al Zawra'a at home and Al-Jolan SC away, 2024–2026.

	Al Zawra'a	Al-Jolan SC
Matches	45	6
Win rate	62%	33%
Goals scored per match	1.7	1.7
Goals conceded per match	0.7	1.2
Over 2.5 goals	42%	50%
Both teams score	40%	50%
Total corners per match	—	—
Over 9.5 corners	—	—
Total yellow cards per match	0.1	0.2
Over 4.5 yellow cards	0%	0%

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Al Zawra'a vs Al-Jolan SC?

Our model: Al Zawra'a 46%, draw 28%, Al-Jolan SC 26%.