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Almirante Brown vs Acassuso: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Primera Nacional · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Almirante Brown 2.0, Acassuso 2.9; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 54%, typical match 54%.
Result
Market line without margin: Almirante Brown win 54%, draw 29%, Acassuso win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 36%.
Form
Almirante Brown: last five matches — D-W-W-W-D.
- 12 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Acassuso: last five matches — L-D-L-D-L.
- 13 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Almirante Brown — 11, Acassuso — 35 (of 36).
Team statistics for three seasons
Almirante Brown at home and Acassuso away, 2024–2026.
| Almirante Brown | Acassuso | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 15 |
| Win rate | 31% | 7% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 27% |
| Both teams score | 29% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 53% | 60% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Almirante Brown won 0, 1 draws, Acassuso won 0. Per match: 0.0 goals, 7.0 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Acassuso 0:0 Almirante Brown
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?
Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.
Who is more likely to win Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?
Market line without margin: Almirante Brown 54%, draw 29%, Acassuso 17%.