Xpect
America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 7 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: America Mineiro 5.7, Fortaleza EC 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 55%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: America Mineiro 1.9, Fortaleza EC 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 46%.
Form
America Mineiro: last five matches — L-W-W-L-L.
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Fortaleza EC: last five matches — D-D-W-W-W.
- 11 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · away
Table: America Mineiro — 19, Fortaleza EC — 3 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
America Mineiro at home and Fortaleza EC away, 2024–2026.
| America Mineiro | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 15 |
| Win rate | 43% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 27% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 68% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 40% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: America Mineiro won 4, 0 draws, Fortaleza EC won 7. Per match: 3.2 goals, 8.6 corners, 3.9 yellow cards.
- 16.06.2026: Fortaleza EC 0:3 America Mineiro
- 08.10.2023: Fortaleza EC 3:2 America Mineiro
- 31.08.2023: Fortaleza EC 2:1 America Mineiro
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.