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America Mineiro vs Juventude: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 28 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: America Mineiro 5.8, Juventude 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 58%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: America Mineiro 2.1, Juventude 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 46%.
Result
Market line without margin: America Mineiro win 28%, draw 29%, Juventude win 43%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
America Mineiro: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.
Juventude: last five matches — W-W-D-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: America Mineiro — 19, Juventude — 4 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
America Mineiro at home and Juventude away, 2024–2026.
| America Mineiro | Juventude | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 14 |
| Win rate | 44% | 36% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 29% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 36% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 7.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 21% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 32% | 64% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: America Mineiro won 5, 3 draws, Juventude won 2. Per match: 2.1 goals, 10.8 corners, 4.7 yellow cards.
- 30.05.2026: Juventude 3:0 America Mineiro
- 06.08.2022: Juventude 0:1 America Mineiro
- 16.04.2022: America Mineiro 4:1 Juventude
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in America Mineiro vs Juventude?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in America Mineiro vs Juventude?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win America Mineiro vs Juventude?
Market line without margin: America Mineiro 28%, draw 29%, Juventude 43%.