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Argentinos JRS vs Tigre: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Liga Profesional · 4 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.7 corners in the match: Argentinos JRS 5.2, Tigre 3.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 37% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 63%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.5 yellow cards: Argentinos JRS 2.5, Tigre 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 64% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 64%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Argentinos JRS win 53%, draw 30%, Tigre win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Argentinos JRS: last five matches — D-W-W-W-D.
- 13 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Tigre: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Argentinos JRS — 3, Tigre — 22 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Argentinos JRS at home and Tigre away, 2024–2026.
| Argentinos JRS | Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 45 |
| Win rate | 63% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 31% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 31% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 65% | 53% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Argentinos JRS won 4, 2 draws, Tigre won 4. Per match: 2.2 goals, 7.4 corners, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 16.03.2026: Tigre 1:1 Argentinos JRS
- 20.07.2025: Tigre 2:1 Argentinos JRS
- 31.01.2025: Argentinos JRS 1:0 Tigre
Referee
Andres Gariano: 25 matches in our database, 5.4 yellow cards per match (competition average 5.1); over 4.5 cards in 72% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
Our model expects 8.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 37%.
How many yellow cards in Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
Our model expects 5.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 64%.
Who is more likely to win Argentinos JRS vs Tigre?
Market line without margin: Argentinos JRS 53%, draw 30%, Tigre 17%.