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Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy: prediction and statistics
Jamaica · Premier League · 6 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Arnett Gardens · Mount Pleasant Academy
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 31% – 26% – 42%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 49% of Arnett Gardens’s home matches and 40% of Mount Pleasant Academy’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 1:1.
Result
Our model: Arnett Gardens win 31%, draw 26%, Mount Pleasant Academy win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.
Form
Arnett Gardens: last five matches — W-W-W-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Mount Pleasant Academy: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Arnett Gardens — 8, Mount Pleasant Academy — 7 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Arnett Gardens at home and Mount Pleasant Academy away, 2024–2026.
| Arnett Gardens | Mount Pleasant Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 45 |
| Win rate | 47% | 53% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 16% | 31% |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Arnett Gardens won 3, 8 draws, Mount Pleasant Academy won 11. Per match: 1.9 goals, 1.6 yellow cards.
- 31.03.2026: Arnett Gardens 1:1 Mount Pleasant Academy
- 29.01.2026: Mount Pleasant Academy 1:0 Arnett Gardens
- 23.01.2026: Arnett Gardens 0:1 Mount Pleasant Academy
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant Academy?
Our model: Arnett Gardens 31%, draw 26%, Mount Pleasant Academy 42%.