Atlántico vs Universidad O&M: prediction and statistics

Dominican Republic · Liga Mayor · 7 November 2026 · kick-off 20:00 UTC

Team stats: Atlántico · Universidad O&M

Key facts

• Universidad O&M is the more likely winner in our model: 59%, draw 21%.
• Over 2.5 goals happened in 57% of Atlántico’s home matches and 63% of Universidad O&M’s away matches over three seasons.

Result

Our model: Atlántico win 21%, draw 21%, Universidad O&M win 59%. Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 62%.

Form

Atlántico: last five matches — L-L-L-D-W.

• 11 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
• 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home

Universidad O&M: last five matches — L-W-D-W-L.

• 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away

Table: Atlántico — 8, Universidad O&M — 5 (of 8).

Team statistics for three seasons

Atlántico at home and Universidad O&M away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

16 meetings in our database: Atlántico won 6, 4 draws, Universidad O&M won 6. Per match: 2.1 goals, 0.1 yellow cards.

• 23.09.2026: Universidad O&M 3:1 Atlántico
• 14.12.2025: Universidad O&M 0:2 Atlántico
• 27.09.2025: Atlántico 2:1 Universidad O&M

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers