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Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.9 corners in the match: Atletico Goianiense 6.5, Sport Recife 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 65% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 53%, typical match 46%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Atletico Goianiense 2.2, Sport Recife 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 72%.
Form
Atletico Goianiense: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Sport Recife: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Atletico Goianiense — 6, Sport Recife — 9 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Atletico Goianiense at home and Sport Recife away, 2024–2026.
| Atletico Goianiense | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 35 |
| Win rate | 57% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 10.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 51% | 66% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 63% | 60% |
Head to head
15 meetings in our database: Atletico Goianiense won 4, 7 draws, Sport Recife won 4. Per match: 2.0 goals, 12.2 corners, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 19.06.2026: Sport Recife 1:1 Atletico Goianiense
- 11.11.2023: Sport Recife 0:0 Atletico Goianiense
- 15.07.2023: Atletico Goianiense 3:1 Sport Recife
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
Our model expects 10.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 65%.
How many yellow cards in Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.