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Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC: prediction and statistics
Canada · Premier League · 30 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Atlético Ottawa 4.8, Cavalry FC 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 59%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Atlético Ottawa 2.2, Cavalry FC 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 70%.
Form
Atlético Ottawa: last five matches — D-W-W-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Cavalry FC: last five matches — L-L-D-W-W.
- 9 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Atlético Ottawa — 3, Cavalry FC — 1 (of 8).
Team statistics for three seasons
Atlético Ottawa at home and Cavalry FC away, 2024–2026.
| Atlético Ottawa | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 42 |
| Win rate | 48% | 45% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 45% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 8.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 64% | 44% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 52% | 57% |
Head to head
24 meetings in our database: Atlético Ottawa won 11, 6 draws, Cavalry FC won 7. Per match: 2.8 goals, 8.5 corners, 4.8 yellow cards.
- 22.08.2026: Cavalry FC 3:1 Atlético Ottawa
- 04.07.2026: Atlético Ottawa 0:3 Cavalry FC
- 12.04.2026: Cavalry FC 3:1 Atlético Ottawa
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.