Xpect
HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa: prediction and statistics
Canada · Premier League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: HFX Wanderers FC 4.8, Atlético Ottawa 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 45% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: HFX Wanderers FC 2.3, Atlético Ottawa 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 48%.
Result
Market line without margin: HFX Wanderers FC win 47%, draw 25%, Atlético Ottawa win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
HFX Wanderers FC: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Atlético Ottawa: last five matches — L-L-W-L-L.
- 10 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: HFX Wanderers FC — 5, Atlético Ottawa — 3 (of 8).
Team statistics for three seasons
HFX Wanderers FC at home and Atlético Ottawa away, 2024–2026.
| HFX Wanderers FC | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 41 |
| Win rate | 43% | 41% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 68% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 8.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 30% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 60% | 54% |
Head to head
27 meetings in our database: HFX Wanderers FC won 7, 7 draws, Atlético Ottawa won 13. Per match: 2.8 goals, 8.1 corners, 3.9 yellow cards.
- 08.08.2026: Atlético Ottawa 2:1 HFX Wanderers FC
- 01.07.2026: HFX Wanderers FC 1:3 Atlético Ottawa
- 17.05.2026: Atlético Ottawa 1:0 HFX Wanderers FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 45%.
How many yellow cards in HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.
Who is more likely to win HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
Market line without margin: HFX Wanderers FC 47%, draw 25%, Atlético Ottawa 28%.