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Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Atletico San Luis 5.0, Santos Laguna 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 53%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Atletico San Luis 1.8, Santos Laguna 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 41% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 59%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Atletico San Luis win 48%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
Atletico San Luis: last five matches — L-D-D-L-W.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Santos Laguna: last five matches — L-W-L-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Atletico San Luis — 13, Santos Laguna — 16 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Atletico San Luis at home and Santos Laguna away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Atletico San Luis | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 39 |
| Win rate | 44% | 5% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 69% |
| Both teams score | 61% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 24% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 36% |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: Atletico San Luis won 6, 2 draws, Santos Laguna won 6. Per match: 3.1 goals, 10.0 corners, 4.0 yellow cards.
- 23.04.2026: Atletico San Luis 2:0 Santos Laguna
- 21.09.2025: Santos Laguna 1:4 Atletico San Luis
- 30.03.2025: Santos Laguna 2:3 Atletico San Luis
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 41%.
Who is more likely to win Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Market line without margin: Atletico San Luis 48%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 27%.