Xpect
Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado: prediction and statistics
Uruguay · Primera División · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.7 yellow cards: Atletico Torque 2.8, Deportivo Maldonado 2.9; typical match of the competition — 5.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 67% (typical match — 64%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 67%, typical match 64%.
Result
Market line without margin: Atletico Torque win 44%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maldonado win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Atletico Torque: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 5 wins in a row · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Deportivo Maldonado: last five matches — W-L-W-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Atletico Torque — 2, Deportivo Maldonado — 4 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Atletico Torque at home and Deportivo Maldonado away, 2024–2026.
| Atletico Torque | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 25 |
| Win rate | 46% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 32% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.0 | 6.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 63% | 80% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Atletico Torque won 4, 3 draws, Deportivo Maldonado won 11. Per match: 2.7 goals, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 06.06.2026: Atletico Torque 2:4 Deportivo Maldonado
- 24.03.2026: Deportivo Maldonado 1:0 Atletico Torque
- 30.04.2023: Deportivo Maldonado 3:2 Atletico Torque
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our model expects 5.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 67%.
Who is more likely to win Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Market line without margin: Atletico Torque 44%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maldonado 27%.