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Audace Cerignola vs Barletta: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone C · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Audace Cerignola · Barletta
Before kick-off
Audace Cerignola host Barletta in Serie C – Girone C on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Audace Cerignola are 5th of 20, Barletta 16th — a gap of 11 places.
Audace Cerignola arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Barletta are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, Audace Cerignola took 11 from that stretch and Barletta only 4.
Home advantage matters here: Audace Cerignola have 23 wins, 14 draws and 6 defeats in 43 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Barletta find it hard on the road: 1 win, 3 draws and 3 defeats in 7 away matches, 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Audace Cerignola: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.
- 16 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Barletta: last five matches — L-D-L-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Audace Cerignola — 5, Barletta — 16 (of 20).
Home and away record
Audace Cerignola at home and Barletta away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Audace Cerignola | Barletta | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 7 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 23-14-6 | 1-3-3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 47% of Audace Cerignola home games and 43% of Barletta away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Audace Cerignola 1.8, Barletta 2.2; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 62%, typical match 44%.
Result
Our model: Audace Cerignola win 50%, draw 25%, Barletta win 25%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Audace Cerignola | Barletta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 53% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 51% | 43% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 57% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.