Ayutthaya FC vs Pattani: prediction and statistics

Thailand · Thai League 1 · 7 November 2026 · kick-off 11:00 UTC

Team stats: Ayutthaya FC · Pattani

Key facts

• Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 50% of Ayutthaya FC home games and 83% of Pattani away games.
• Our model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 62%; a draw is 22%.

Result

Our model: Ayutthaya FC win 62%, draw 22%, Pattani win 16%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 48%.

Form

Ayutthaya FC: last five matches — L-W-L-L-W.

• 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
• 3 wins in a row · all competitions
• 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions

Pattani: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.

• 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
• 6 matches in a row both teams scored · away
• 3 losses in a row · away

Table: Ayutthaya FC — 3, Pattani — 13 (of 16).

Team statistics for three seasons

Ayutthaya FC at home and Pattani away, 2024–2026.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers