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Banfield vs Rosario Central: prediction and statistics

Argentina · Liga Profesional · 6 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

57%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Banfield 4.7, Rosario Central 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 47%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 53%.

Yellow cards

52%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Banfield 2.2, Rosario Central 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 71%, typical match 74%.

Result

Market line without margin: Banfield win 23%, draw 30%, Rosario Central win 47%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 47%.

Form

Banfield: last five matches — W-L-D-L-D.

Rosario Central: last five matches — W-L-D-W-W.

Table: Banfield — 25, Rosario Central — 4 (of 30).

Team statistics for three seasons

Banfield at home and Rosario Central away, 2024–2026.

BanfieldRosario Central
Matches4144
Win rate32%41%
Goals scored per match1.21.0
Goals conceded per match1.10.9
Over 2.5 goals39%36%
Both teams score56%39%
Total corners per match8.58.8
Over 9.5 corners24%34%
Total yellow cards per match5.05.9
Over 4.5 yellow cards54%75%

Head to head

17 meetings in our database: Banfield won 8, 4 draws, Rosario Central won 5. Per match: 2.7 goals, 10.2 corners, 4.7 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Banfield vs Rosario Central?

Our model expects 9.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 43%.

How many yellow cards in Banfield vs Rosario Central?

Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 52%.

Who is more likely to win Banfield vs Rosario Central?

Market line without margin: Banfield 23%, draw 30%, Rosario Central 47%.

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