Barnsley vs Cambridge United: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Barnsley 5.3, Cambridge United 5.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 62% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 62%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards: Barnsley 1.7, Cambridge United 1.6; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 56%, typical match 49%.
Form
Barnsley: last five matches — W-W-L-D-L.
- 7 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Cambridge United: last five matches — D-W-D-D-W.
- 12 matches unbeaten · away
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Barnsley — 18, Cambridge United — 5 (of 25).
Team statistics for three seasons
Barnsley at home and Cambridge United away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Barnsley | Cambridge United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 50 | 27 |
| Win rate | 32% | 19% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 11.1 | 10.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 58% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 32% | 33% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Barnsley won 3, 2 draws, Cambridge United won 1. Per match: 2.5 goals, 8.2 corners, 5.3 yellow cards.
- 22.03.2025: Barnsley 1:1 Cambridge United
- 16.11.2024: Cambridge United 1:1 Barnsley
- 29.03.2024: Barnsley 0:2 Cambridge United
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Barnsley vs Cambridge United?
Our model expects 10.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 62%.
How many yellow cards in Barnsley vs Cambridge United?
Our model expects 3.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 26%.