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Notts County vs Oxford United: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Notts County 5.8, Oxford United 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Notts County 2.0, Oxford United 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 51%.
Result
Market line without margin: Notts County win 36%, draw 28%, Oxford United win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Notts County: last five matches — L-D-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
Oxford United: last five matches — W-L-W-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Notts County — 20, Oxford United — 10 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Notts County at home and Oxford United away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Notts County | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Win rate | 33% | 67% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 8.3 | 10.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 33% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Notts County won 0, 0 draws, Oxford United won 2. Per match: 5.0 goals.
- 02.01.2016: Notts County 2:4 Oxford United
- 18.08.2015: Oxford United 3:1 Notts County
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Notts County vs Oxford United?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Notts County vs Oxford United?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Notts County vs Oxford United?
Market line without margin: Notts County 36%, draw 28%, Oxford United 37%.