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Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Barnsley · Sheffield Wednesday
Before kick-off
Barnsley host Sheffield Wednesday in League One on 20 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Sheffield Wednesday are 9th of 24, Barnsley 23rd — a gap of 14 places. Barnsley are in the bottom three.
Barnsley have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Sheffield Wednesday are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
The home record of Barnsley (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 16 wins, 16 draws and 20 defeats in 52 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded per game. On the road Sheffield Wednesday are a dangerous side — 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 6 away matches, 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
The 16 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Barnsley 4, Sheffield Wednesday 7, draws 5. Last time out (29 May 2023) it ended Barnsley 0:1 Sheffield Wednesday. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
Barnsley: last five matches — L-L-D-W-W.
- 11 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Sheffield Wednesday: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Barnsley — 23, Sheffield Wednesday — 9 (of 24).
Home and away record
Barnsley at home and Sheffield Wednesday away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Barnsley | Sheffield Wednesday | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-16-20 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Barnsley won 4, 5 draws, Sheffield Wednesday won 7. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 29.05.2023: Barnsley 0:1 Sheffield Wednesday
- 21.03.2023: Barnsley 4:2 Sheffield Wednesday
- 03.09.2022: Sheffield Wednesday 0:2 Barnsley
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model sees an open game: Barnsley 41%, draw 24%, Sheffield Wednesday 34%.
- Sheffield Wednesday should win the corner count: 6.2 expected against 4.9 for Barnsley.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 65% of Barnsley home games and 67% of Sheffield Wednesday away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 11.1 corners in the match: Barnsley 4.9, Sheffield Wednesday 6.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 67% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 55%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Barnsley 1.8, Sheffield Wednesday 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 54%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Barnsley win 41%, draw 24%, Sheffield Wednesday win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 60%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Barnsley | Sheffield Wednesday | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 31% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60% | 83% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 33% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.4 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.