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Barranquilla vs Real Cundinamarca: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera B · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Barranquilla 2.5, Real Cundinamarca 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 56% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 74%, typical match 76%.
Result
Market line without margin: Barranquilla win 35%, draw 28%, Real Cundinamarca win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — —.
Form
Barranquilla: last five matches — W-D-D-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Real Cundinamarca: last five matches — D-L-D-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Barranquilla — 10, Real Cundinamarca — 11 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Barranquilla at home and Real Cundinamarca away, 2024–2026.
| Barranquilla | Real Cundinamarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 54 |
| Win rate | 33% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 5.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 59% | 70% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Barranquilla won 1, 4 draws, Real Cundinamarca won 1. Per match: 2.5 goals, 4.7 yellow cards.
- 21.03.2026: Real Cundinamarca 2:2 Barranquilla
- 01.10.2025: Barranquilla 1:1 Real Cundinamarca
- 17.04.2025: Real Cundinamarca 2:0 Barranquilla
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Barranquilla vs Real Cundinamarca?
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 56%.
Who is more likely to win Barranquilla vs Real Cundinamarca?
Market line without margin: Barranquilla 35%, draw 28%, Real Cundinamarca 37%.