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Bars vs Muras United: prediction and statistics
Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Bars · Muras United
Key facts
- Our model makes Bars the favourite at 51%; a draw is 22%.
- Muras United has won 2 of the last 3 meetings with Bars.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 73% of Bars home games and 57% of Muras United away games.
Result
Final score 2:0.
Result
Our model: Bars win 51%, draw 22%, Muras United win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Bars: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 7 wins in a row · all competitions
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Muras United: last five matches — L-W-D-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Bars — 2, Muras United — 5 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Bars at home and Muras United away, 2024–2026.
| Bars | Muras United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 40 |
| Win rate | 81% | 60% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Bars won 1, 0 draws, Muras United won 2. Per match: 3.3 goals.
- 14.07.2026: Muras United 3:2 Bars
- 23.09.2025: Bars 2:0 Muras United
- 01.05.2025: Muras United 2:1 Bars
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Bars vs Muras United?
Our model: Bars 51%, draw 22%, Muras United 27%.