Xpect
BDF XI vs Centre Chiefs: prediction and statistics
Botswana · Premier League · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: BDF XI · Centre Chiefs
Key facts
- 5 of the 10 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 52% of BDF XI home games and 29% of Centre Chiefs away games.
- Our model makes Centre Chiefs the favourite at 53%; a draw is 27%.
Result
Final score 0:1.
Result
Our model: BDF XI win 20%, draw 27%, Centre Chiefs win 53%. Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 40%.
Form
BDF XI: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.
- 6 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Centre Chiefs: last five matches — L-L-L-W-W.
Table: BDF XI — 15, Centre Chiefs — 4 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
BDF XI at home and Centre Chiefs away, 2024–2026.
| BDF XI | Centre Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 33 | 34 |
| Win rate | 24% | 53% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 29% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 29% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.0 | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | — |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: BDF XI won 1, 5 draws, Centre Chiefs won 4. Per match: 1.8 goals.
- 12.05.2026: BDF XI 1:2 Centre Chiefs
- 15.08.2025: Centre Chiefs 0:0 BDF XI
- 02.03.2025: BDF XI 1:3 Centre Chiefs
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win BDF XI vs Centre Chiefs?
Our model: BDF XI 20%, draw 27%, Centre Chiefs 53%.