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Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko: prediction and statistics
Ghana · Premier League · 8 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Berekum Chelsea · Asante Kotoko
Key facts
- Berekum Chelsea is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 28%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 37% of Berekum Chelsea’s home matches and 26% of Asante Kotoko’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 2:1.
Result
Our model: Berekum Chelsea win 54%, draw 28%, Asante Kotoko win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 37%.
Form
Berekum Chelsea: last five matches — W-W-D-W-D.
- 19 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Asante Kotoko: last five matches — L-D-D-L-D.
- 9 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Berekum Chelsea — 12, Asante Kotoko — 9 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Berekum Chelsea at home and Asante Kotoko away, 2024–2026.
| Berekum Chelsea | Asante Kotoko | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 38 | 38 |
| Win rate | 61% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 26% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.6 | 2.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 3% | 28% |
Head to head
29 meetings in our database: Berekum Chelsea won 9, 10 draws, Asante Kotoko won 10. Per match: 1.6 goals, 2.5 yellow cards.
- 11.01.2026: Asante Kotoko 0:0 Berekum Chelsea
- 13.09.2025: Berekum Chelsea 0:1 Asante Kotoko
- 11.05.2025: Asante Kotoko 1:0 Berekum Chelsea
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko?
Our model: Berekum Chelsea 54%, draw 28%, Asante Kotoko 18%.