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Blaublitz Akita vs Albirex Niigata: prediction and statistics
Japan · J2 League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 2.8 yellow cards: Blaublitz Akita 1.4, Albirex Niigata 1.4; typical match of the competition — 2.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 15% (typical match — 11%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 85%, typical match 89%.
Result
Market line without margin: Blaublitz Akita win 38%, draw 30%, Albirex Niigata win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Blaublitz Akita: last five matches — D-L-W-D-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Albirex Niigata: last five matches — D-L-W-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Blaublitz Akita — 12, Albirex Niigata — 1 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Blaublitz Akita at home and Albirex Niigata away, 2024–2026.
| Blaublitz Akita | Albirex Niigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 3 |
| Win rate | 36% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 17% | 33% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Blaublitz Akita won 2, 0 draws, Albirex Niigata won 4. Per match: 2.5 goals, 2.0 yellow cards.
- 22.05.2024: Blaublitz Akita 0:2 Albirex Niigata
- 19.06.2022: Albirex Niigata 3:0 Blaublitz Akita
- 13.03.2022: Blaublitz Akita 1:0 Albirex Niigata
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Blaublitz Akita vs Albirex Niigata?
Our model expects 2.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 15%.
Who is more likely to win Blaublitz Akita vs Albirex Niigata?
Market line without margin: Blaublitz Akita 38%, draw 30%, Albirex Niigata 32%.