Xpect
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and statistics
Europe · Champions League · 14 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Bodo/Glimt 5.6, Borussia Dortmund 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 50%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Bodo/Glimt 1.2, Borussia Dortmund 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 26% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 55%, typical match 38%.
Result
Market line without margin: Bodo/Glimt win 29%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund win 47%. Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 69%.
Form
Bodo/Glimt: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 13 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 11 matches unbeaten · at home
- 10 wins in a row · at home
Borussia Dortmund: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 6 wins in a row · all competitions
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Bodo/Glimt at home and Borussia Dortmund away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Bodo/Glimt | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 12 |
| Win rate | 75% | 42% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% | 92% |
| Both teams score | 58% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 17% | 25% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Bodo/Glimt won 0, 1 draws, Borussia Dortmund won 0. Per match: 4.0 goals, 14.0 corners, 1.0 yellow cards.
- 10.12.2025: Borussia Dortmund 2:2 Bodo/Glimt
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 26%.
Who is more likely to win Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Market line without margin: Bodo/Glimt 29%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 47%.