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Bristol City vs Blackburn: prediction and statistics
England · Championship · 13 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.6 corners in the match: Bristol City 5.3, Blackburn 5.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 61% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 61%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Bristol City 1.5, Blackburn 2.6; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 33%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 59%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Bristol City win 40%, draw 28%, Blackburn win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 48%.
Form
Bristol City: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Blackburn: last five matches — L-D-L-W-D.
Team statistics for three seasons
Bristol City at home and Blackburn away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Bristol City | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 50 |
| Win rate | 47% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 42% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 47% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 44% |
Head to head
23 meetings in our database: Bristol City won 9, 5 draws, Blackburn won 9. Per match: 2.7 goals, 9.6 corners, 3.3 yellow cards.
- 24.02.2026: Blackburn 1:2 Bristol City
- 04.11.2025: Bristol City 0:1 Blackburn
- 25.01.2025: Bristol City 2:1 Blackburn
Referee
David Webb: 292 matches in our database, 3.0 yellow cards per match (competition average 3.8); over 4.5 cards in 18% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Bristol City vs Blackburn?
Our model expects 10.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 61%.
How many yellow cards in Bristol City vs Blackburn?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Bristol City vs Blackburn?
Our model: Bristol City 40%, draw 28%, Blackburn 32%.