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Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Bristol Rovers 5.2, Exeter City 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 62%, typical match 60%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Bristol Rovers 1.7, Exeter City 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 55%, typical match 51%.
Result
Market line without margin: Bristol Rovers win 55%, draw 25%, Exeter City win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Bristol Rovers: last five matches — L-W-D-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
Exeter City: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.
- 14 matches without a win · away
Table: Bristol Rovers — 6, Exeter City — 20 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Bristol Rovers at home and Exeter City away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Bristol Rovers | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 3 |
| Win rate | 58% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 35% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 54% | 67% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Bristol Rovers won 5, 3 draws, Exeter City won 8. Per match: 3.6 goals, 9.8 corners, 3.2 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2025: Bristol Rovers 1:2 Exeter City
- 26.12.2024: Exeter City 3:1 Bristol Rovers
- 29.10.2024: Bristol Rovers 2:3 Exeter City
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.
Who is more likely to win Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?
Market line without margin: Bristol Rovers 55%, draw 25%, Exeter City 20%.