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Bromley vs Leicester: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Bromley · Leicester
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: Bromley 4.0, Leicester 6.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 64% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 52%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Bromley 1.7, Leicester 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 31% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 50%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Bromley win 19%, draw 23%, Leicester win 59%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 51%.
Form
Bromley: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Leicester: last five matches — L-D-W-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Bromley — 21, Leicester — 17 (of 25).
Team statistics for three seasons
Bromley at home and Leicester away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Bromley | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Win rate | 25% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 75% |
| Total corners per match | 8.5 | 11.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 25% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 25% | 25% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Bromley vs Leicester?
Our model expects 10.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 64%.
How many yellow cards in Bromley vs Leicester?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 31%.
Who is more likely to win Bromley vs Leicester?
Our model: Bromley 19%, draw 23%, Leicester 59%.