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BUL vs SC Villa: prediction and statistics
Uganda · Premier League · 3 November 2026 · kick-off
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 42% – 28% – 30%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 34% of BUL’s home matches and 33% of SC Villa’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 2:1.
Result
Our model: BUL win 42%, draw 28%, SC Villa win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
BUL: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
SC Villa: last five matches — D-W-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: BUL — 3, SC Villa — 1 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
BUL at home and SC Villa away, 2024–2026.
| BUL | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 33 |
| Win rate | 46% | 42% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 6% |
Head to head
28 meetings in our database: BUL won 10, 9 draws, SC Villa won 9. Per match: 1.8 goals, 1.8 yellow cards.
- 08.05.2026: SC Villa 0:0 BUL
- 23.01.2026: BUL 2:1 SC Villa
- 04.04.2025: BUL 1:0 SC Villa
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win BUL vs SC Villa?
Our model: BUL 42%, draw 28%, SC Villa 30%.