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Burgos vs Granada CF: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 12 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Burgos 4.8, Granada CF 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.5 yellow cards: Burgos 2.5, Granada CF 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 64% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 64%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Burgos win 41%, draw 28%, Granada CF win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Burgos: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Granada CF: last five matches — D-W-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Burgos — 6, Granada CF — 9 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Burgos at home and Granada CF away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Burgos | Granada CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 47 |
| Win rate | 50% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 39% | 43% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 52% | 57% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Burgos won 1, 3 draws, Granada CF won 2. Per match: 2.0 goals, 8.5 corners, 7.3 yellow cards.
- 16.05.2026: Granada CF 0:1 Burgos
- 22.09.2025: Burgos 1:1 Granada CF
- 10.01.2025: Granada CF 0:0 Burgos
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Burgos vs Granada CF?
Our model expects 9.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 43%.
How many yellow cards in Burgos vs Granada CF?
Our model expects 5.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 64%.
Who is more likely to win Burgos vs Granada CF?
Market line without margin: Burgos 41%, draw 28%, Granada CF 31%.