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Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds: prediction and statistics
England · Cup · 7 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Burton Albion · AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Key facts
- Burton Albion is the more likely winner in our model: 86%, draw 12%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of Burton Albion’s home matches and 50% of AFC Rushden & Diamonds’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 4:0.
Result
Our model: Burton Albion win 86%, draw 12%, AFC Rushden & Diamonds win 2%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 16%.
Form
Burton Albion: last five matches — D-D-L-D-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
AFC Rushden & Diamonds: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
- 7 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Burton Albion at home and AFC Rushden & Diamonds away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Burton Albion | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Win rate | 50% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 16.3 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 100% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
Our model: Burton Albion 86%, draw 12%, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2%.