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Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Cambridge United 5.8, AFC Wimbledon 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.1 yellow cards: Cambridge United 1.4, AFC Wimbledon 1.7; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 21% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 61%, typical match 49%.
Result
Market line without margin: Cambridge United win 52%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 48%.
Form
Cambridge United: last five matches — W-W-L-L-W.
- 9 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
AFC Wimbledon: last five matches — L-D-L-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Cambridge United — 5, AFC Wimbledon — 7 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cambridge United at home and AFC Wimbledon away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cambridge United | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 26 |
| Win rate | 27% | 31% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 8.5 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 36% | 48% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 44% | 16% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Cambridge United won 4, 1 draws, AFC Wimbledon won 1. Per match: 2.2 goals, 8.0 corners, 2.5 yellow cards.
- 26.03.2022: AFC Wimbledon 0:1 Cambridge United
- 30.10.2021: Cambridge United 1:0 AFC Wimbledon
- 02.01.2016: Cambridge United 1:4 AFC Wimbledon
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our model expects 3.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 21%.
Who is more likely to win Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Market line without margin: Cambridge United 52%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 22%.