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Cambridge United vs Wycombe: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Cambridge United · Wycombe
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Cambridge United 6.3, Wycombe 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Cambridge United 1.9, Wycombe 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 51%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Cambridge United win 56%, draw 23%, Wycombe win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 56%.
Form
Cambridge United: last five matches — L-W-D-W-W.
- 8 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Wycombe: last five matches — D-D-L-W-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Cambridge United — 4, Wycombe — 15 (of 25).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cambridge United at home and Wycombe away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cambridge United | Wycombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 28 | 51 |
| Win rate | 29% | 35% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 61% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | 9.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 36% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 31% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Cambridge United won 2, 4 draws, Wycombe won 10. Per match: 2.3 goals, 10.3 corners, 2.1 yellow cards.
- 01.02.2025: Cambridge United 1:1 Wycombe
- 21.09.2024: Wycombe 2:1 Cambridge United
- 23.04.2024: Cambridge United 1:1 Wycombe
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Cambridge United vs Wycombe?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 59%.
How many yellow cards in Cambridge United vs Wycombe?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.
Who is more likely to win Cambridge United vs Wycombe?
Our model: Cambridge United 56%, draw 23%, Wycombe 22%.